Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Monterrey Open: Alycia Parks vs Petra Marcinko Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Monterrey Open: Alycia Parks vs Petra Marcinko Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| Monterrey Open: Alycia Parks vs Petra Marcinko Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Monterrey Open: Alycia Parks vs Petra Marcinko | 50% |
| Completed Match | 50% |
| Monterrey Open: Alycia Parks vs Petra Marcinko Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Monterrey Open: Alycia Parks vs Petra Marcinko Match O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Monterrey Open: Alycia Parks vs Petra Marcinko Game Spread +/-2.5 | 50% |
| Monterrey Open: Alycia Parks vs Petra Marcinko Match O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Monterrey Open: Alycia Parks vs Petra Marcinko Match O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Monterrey Open: Alycia Parks vs Petra Marcinko Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 4% |
| Monterrey Open: Alycia Parks vs Petra Marcinko Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Monterrey Open: Alycia Parks vs Petra Marcinko Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Monterrey Open: Alycia Parks vs Petra Marcinko Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Monterrey Open: Alycia Parks vs Petra Marcinko Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Monterrey Open: Alycia Parks vs Petra Marcinko Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of pronóstico: monterrey open: alycia parks vs petra marcinko. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Alycia Parks and Petra Marcinko in the Monterrey Open, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will reso…
Methodology
This page reviews Pronóstico: Monterrey Open: Alycia Parks vs Petra Marcinko across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Pronóstico: Monterrey Open: Alycia Parks vs Petra Ma… on Polymarket Qué Es
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →