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Pronóstico: Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Iva Jovic

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Pronóstico: Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Iva Jovic" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Iva Jovic Set 1 O/U 8.5 71% Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Iva Jovic 70% Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Iva Jovic Set 2 Winner 65% Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Iva Jovic Set 1 Winner 63% Volume: $423K Liquidity: $319K Closes: 12 Jul 2026
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Pronóstico: Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Iva Jovic

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
71% 29% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
71% 29% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Iva Jovic Set 1 O/U 8.571%
Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Iva Jovic70%
Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Iva Jovic Set 2 Winner65%
Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Iva Jovic Set 1 Winner63%
Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Iva Jovic Match O/U 21.553%
Completed Match50%
Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Iva Jovic Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Iva Jovic Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Iva Jovic Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Iva Jovic Set 1 O/U 9.549%
Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Iva Jovic Set Handicap +/-1.545%
Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Iva Jovic Match O/U 22.545%
Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Iva Jovic Total Sets: O/U 2.540%
Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Iva Jovic Match O/U 23.540%
Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Iva Jovic Set 1 O/U 10.525%

Market context

Market consensus: 71% chance of pronóstico: wimbledon wta: jessica pegula vs iva jovic. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Jessica Pegula and Iva Jovic in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for July 5, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to '…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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