Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Cincinnati Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Maria Sakkari Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Cincinnati Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Maria Sakkari Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| Cincinnati Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Maria Sakkari Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Cincinnati Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Maria Sakkari Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Cincinnati Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Maria Sakkari Match O/U 23.5 | 87% |
| Cincinnati Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Maria Sakkari Match O/U 21.5 | 85% |
| Cincinnati Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Maria Sakkari Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Cincinnati Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Maria Sakkari Match O/U 22.5 | 51% |
| Completed Match | 50% |
| Cincinnati Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Maria Sakkari Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Maria Sakkari | 2% |
| Cincinnati Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Maria Sakkari Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Cincinnati Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Maria Sakkari Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Cincinnati Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Maria Sakkari Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Cincinnati Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Maria Sakkari Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of pronóstico: cincinnati open: kamilla rakhimova vs maria sakkari. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Kamilla Rakhimova and Maria Sakkari in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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