Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| US Open WTA: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Kamilla Rakhimova Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| US Open WTA: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Kamilla Rakhimova Game Spread +/-1.5 | 100% |
| US Open WTA: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Kamilla Rakhimova Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| US Open WTA: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Kamilla Rakhimova | 0% |
| US Open WTA: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Kamilla Rakhimova Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| US Open WTA: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Kamilla Rakhimova Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| US Open WTA: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Kamilla Rakhimova Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| US Open WTA: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Kamilla Rakhimova Match O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| US Open WTA: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Kamilla Rakhimova Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| US Open WTA: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Kamilla Rakhimova Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| US Open WTA: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Kamilla Rakhimova Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| US Open WTA: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Kamilla Rakhimova Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| US Open WTA: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Kamilla Rakhimova Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| US Open WTA: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Kamilla Rakhimova Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| US Open WTA: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Kamilla Rakhimova Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, pronóstico: us open wta: oksana selekhmeteva vs kamilla rakhimova stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Oksana Selekhmeteva and Kamilla Rakhimova in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market …
Methodology
We track Pronóstico: US Open WTA: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Kamilla Rakhimova across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Pronóstico: US Open WTA: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Kami… on Polymarket Qué Es
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →