Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Alice Tubello vs Priscilla Hon Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Alice Tubello vs Priscilla Hon Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Alice Tubello vs Priscilla Hon Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Alice Tubello vs Priscilla Hon Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Alice Tubello vs Priscilla Hon Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Alice Tubello vs Priscilla Hon Match O/U 22.5 | 56% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Alice Tubello vs Priscilla Hon Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Completed Match | 50% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Alice Tubello vs Priscilla Hon Match O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Alice Tubello vs Priscilla Hon Game Spread +/-1.5 | 50% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Alice Tubello vs Priscilla Hon Match O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Alice Tubello vs Priscilla Hon Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 32% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Alice Tubello vs Priscilla Hon | 21% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Alice Tubello vs Priscilla Hon Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Alice Tubello vs Priscilla Hon Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Alice Tubello vs Priscilla Hon Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, pronóstico: us open, qualification wta: alice tubello vs priscilla hon stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Alice Tubello and Priscilla Hon in the US Open, Qualification WTA, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This mark…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Trade Pronóstico: US Open, Qualification WTA: Alice Tubell… on Polymarket Qué Es
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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