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Pronóstico: ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Elza Tomase vs Dunja Maric

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Pronóstico: ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Elza Tomase vs Dunja Maric" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Elza Tomase vs Dunja Maric 100% Completed Match 100% ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Elza Tomase vs Dunja Maric Set 2 Winner 100% ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Elza Tomase vs Dunja Maric Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Volume: $279K Liquidity: $181K Closes: 10 Jul 2026
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Pronóstico: ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Elza Tomase vs Dunja Maric

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Elza Tomase vs Dunja Maric100%
Completed Match100%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Elza Tomase vs Dunja Maric Set 2 Winner100%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Elza Tomase vs Dunja Maric Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Elza Tomase vs Dunja Maric Set 1 Winner100%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Elza Tomase vs Dunja Maric Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Elza Tomase vs Dunja Maric Set Handicap +/-1.50%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Elza Tomase vs Dunja Maric Match O/U 21.50%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Elza Tomase vs Dunja Maric Set 1 O/U 8.50%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Elza Tomase vs Dunja Maric Set 2 O/U 9.50%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Elza Tomase vs Dunja Maric Match O/U 22.50%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Elza Tomase vs Dunja Maric Set 1 O/U 9.50%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Elza Tomase vs Dunja Maric Set 2 O/U 10.50%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Elza Tomase vs Dunja Maric Match O/U 23.50%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Elza Tomase vs Dunja Maric Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to pronóstico: itf kursumlijska banja: elza tomase vs dunja maric. This market refers to the tennis match between Elza Tomase and Dunja Maric in the ITF Women Kursumlijska Banja, originally scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elza T…

Methodology

We track Pronóstico: ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Elza Tomase vs Dunja Maric across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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