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Pronóstico: Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "Pronóstico: Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 0.5 95% Villarreal CF O/U 0.5 86% O/U 1.5 84% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 81% Volume: $137K Liquidity: $1.7M Closes: 16 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
95% 5% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
95% 5% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.595%
Villarreal CF O/U 0.586%
O/U 1.584%
2nd Half O/U 0.581%
1st Half O/U 0.575%
Real Racing Club O/U 0.575%
Both Teams to Score64%
O/U 2.563%
Villarreal CF 2nd Half O/U 0.563%
Villarreal CF O/U 1.557%
Villarreal CF 1st Half O/U 0.556%
Real Racing Club 2nd Half O/U 0.555%
2nd Half O/U 1.554%
Real Racing Club 1st Half O/U 0.545%
O/U 3.541%
1st Half O/U 1.541%
Real Racing Club O/U 1.540%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half36%
2nd Half O/U 2.529%
Villarreal CF 2nd Half O/U 1.529%
Villarreal CF O/U 2.528%
Villarreal CF (-1.5)27%
Both Teams to Score in First Half25%
O/U 4.522%
Villarreal CF 1st Half O/U 1.519%
Real Racing Club 2nd Half O/U 1.518%
1st Half O/U 2.516%
Real Racing Club O/U 2.515%
Villarreal CF (-2.5)13%
Real Racing Club 1st Half O/U 1.512%
Real Racing Club (-1.5)11%
O/U 5.511%
Real Racing Club (-2.5)4%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, pronóstico: real racing club vs. villarreal cf - more markets stands at 95% likelihood according to current market consensus. More markets for the La Liga game, scheduled for August 16 at 11:00 AM ET.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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