Pronóstico: LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Platform comparison

Market context

Polymarket’s contract is pricing **GIANTX** at about **60%** to beat SK Gaming in this best-of-three, settled in **USDC on Polygon** through conditional tokens. That implies the market is treating GIANTX as a modest favourite, but not overwhelmingly so, which fits a matchup where series volatility still matters more than in a best-of-one.

Recent head-to-head data is mixed enough to justify caution around a 60% line. GIANTX beat SK Gaming **2-0** in their most recent meeting on **5 April 2026**, and Liquipedia records GIANTX winning that Spring 2026 series, while broader head-to-head records still show SK with a slight historical edge overall[18][17][4]. Comparable series results also suggest the pairing can swing on draft and side selection rather than name value alone, with the teams splitting earlier LEC meetings across recent splits[18][2].

For traders, the main catalysts are straightforward: final line-ups, any last-minute roster or coaching changes, and whether the match starts on schedule or is moved within the LEC broadcast window. Live market users should also watch for official league updates, because if the match is not played at all, ends in a tie, or is delayed more than seven days without a winner, the contract resolves to **50-50** rather than either side winning outright. If the game starts but is abandoned, forfeits and disqualifications can still decide the outcome, so the on-chain position tracks the official result, not just in-game score progress.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.