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Pronóstico: LoL: HMBLE vs Barça eSports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Pronóstico: LoL: HMBLE vs Barça eSports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Polymarket Qué Es.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 100% Game Handicap: BAR (-1.5) vs HMBLE (+1.5) 100% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 52% Odd/Even Total Kills 52% Volume: $87K Liquidity: $104K Closes: 30 Sept 2026
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Pronóstico: LoL: HMBLE vs Barça eSports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
Game Handicap: BAR (-1.5) vs HMBLE (+1.5)100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon52%
Odd/Even Total Kills52%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills49%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors48%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor48%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors48%
Odd/Even Total Kills27%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor1%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to pronóstico: lol: hmble vs barça esports (bo3) - emea masters swiss stage. This market refers to the LoL Round 5 match between HMBLE and Barça eSports in the EMEA Masters Swiss Stage, initially scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "HM…

Methodology

We track Pronóstico: LoL: HMBLE vs Barça eSports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Trade Pronóstico: LoL: HMBLE vs Barça eSports (BO3) - EMEA… on Polymarket Qué Es

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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