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Pronóstico: LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Five-platform snapshot of "Pronóstico: LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 3.5 Games 72% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? 62% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 58% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 56% Volume: $192K Liquidity: $1.5M Closes: 19 Jul 2026
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Pronóstico: LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
72% 28% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
72% 28% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 3.5 Games72%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?62%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?58%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon56%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon56%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?56%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon55%
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)52%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
First Blood in Game 3?50%
First Blood in Game 4?50%
First Blood in Game 5?50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon49%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon49%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?47%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 5?47%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?46%
First Blood in Game 1?45%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?45%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor44%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors44%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor44%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors44%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor44%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors44%
Any Player Quadra Kill43%
Any Player Quadra Kill43%
Any Player Quadra Kill43%
Game 3 Winner40%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?40%
Game 1 Winner39%
Game 2 Winner39%
Game 4 Winner39%
O/U 4.5 Games33%
Match Winner30%
Game Handicap: DK (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%

Market context

The Pronóstico: LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs prediction market currently prices this outcome at 72% YES. This market refers to the LoL Grand final match between Karmine Corp and Dplus KIA in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 19 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Karmin…

Methodology

We track Pronóstico: LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
and

Trade Pronóstico: LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - E… on Polymarket Qué Es

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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