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Pronóstico: LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers (BO5) - KeSPA Cup Playoffs

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Pronóstico: LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers (BO5) - KeSPA Cup Playoffs" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Polymarket Qué Es.

O/U 3.5 Games 69% Any Player Penta Kill 51% Any Player Penta Kill 51% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 51% Volume: $85K Liquidity: $94K Closes: 17 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers (BO5) - KeSPA Cup Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
69% 31% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
69% 31% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 3.5 Games69%
Any Player Penta Kill51%
Any Player Penta Kill51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor49%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor49%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors49%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor49%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors49%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor49%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors48%
Game Handicap: DNS (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)47%
Game 4 Winner46%
Game 2 Winner45%
Game 3 Winner45%
Game 1 Winner43%
Game Handicap: DNS (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5)39%
Match Winner38%
O/U 4.5 Games34%
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)25%
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs DN SOOPers (+2.5)12%

Market context

The Pronóstico: LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers (BO5) - KeSPA Cup Playoffs prediction market currently prices this outcome at 69% YES. This market refers to the LoL Semifinal match between T1 and DN SOOPers in the KeSPA Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 17, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win th…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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