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Pronóstico: LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Pronóstico: LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Match Winner 82% Game 1 Winner 74% Game 2 Winner 73% Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5) 54% Volume: $76K Liquidity: $1.1M Closes: 13 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
82% 18% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
82% 18% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner82%
Game 1 Winner74%
Game 2 Winner73%
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)54%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?54%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?54%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor53%
Any Player Penta Kill53%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon52%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon52%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors52%
Any Player Quadra Kill52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors49%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors49%
First Blood in Game 2?49%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?42%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?39%
O/U 2.5 Games38%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor13%
Any Player Penta Kill10%
Any Player Penta Kill10%

Market context

Market consensus: 82% chance of pronóstico: lol: top esports vs lgd gaming (bo3) - lpl group ascend. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL match between Top Esports and LGD Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 13 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Top Es…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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