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Pronóstico: Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Five-platform snapshot of "Pronóstico: Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 73% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 58% O/U 7.5 56% O/U 8.5 48% Volume: $401K Liquidity: $2.0M Closes: 26 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
73% 27% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
73% 27% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.573%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.558%
O/U 7.556%
O/U 8.548%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.546%
NRFI45%
Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates41%
Spread -1.541%
O/U 9.537%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.536%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.534%
Spread -2.530%
Spread -1.530%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.526%
Spread -2.522%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.521%
Extra Innings9%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, pronóstico: detroit tigers vs. pittsburgh pirates stands at 73% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming MLB game between the Detroit Tigers and Pittsburgh Pirates, scheduled for August 19 at 12:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Detroit Tigers" if the Detroit Tige…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 73% for "Pronóstico: Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 73% Other 27%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $401K.

Methodology

This page reviews Pronóstico: Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Related Topics

Sports