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Pronóstico: New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Pronóstico: New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Polymarket Qué Es.

O/U 4.5 55% 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 50% 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 50% 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 50% Volume: $242K Liquidity: $248K Closes: 6 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
55% 45% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
55% 45% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 4.555%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.550%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.550%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.550%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.550%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.550%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.550%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.550%
New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox42%
O/U 5.540%
Spread -1.535%
O/U 6.532%
Spread -1.527%
Spread -2.523%
O/U 7.521%
Spread -2.517%
O/U 8.514%
Extra Innings14%
O/U 9.511%
NRFI0%

Market context

Market consensus: 55% chance of pronóstico: new york yankees vs. chicago white sox. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Chicago White Sox, scheduled for July 30 at 2:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yan…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 4.5 at 55% for "Pronóstico: New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox".

O/U 4.5 55% Other 45%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $242K.

Methodology

This page reviews Pronóstico: New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Related Topics

Sports