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Pronóstico: New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Five-platform snapshot of "Pronóstico: New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 72% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 56% O/U 7.5 51% NRFI 48% Volume: $134K Liquidity: $653K Closes: 16 Jul 2026
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Pronóstico: New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
72% 28% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
72% 28% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.572%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.556%
O/U 7.551%
NRFI48%
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays43%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.543%
Spread -1.541%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.536%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.534%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.524%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.522%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.520%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.511%
Extra Innings6%

Market context

Market consensus: 72% chance of pronóstico: new york yankees vs. tampa bay rays. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for July 9 at 1:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 72% for "Pronóstico: New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 72% Other 28%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $134K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Trade Pronóstico: New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays on Polymarket Qué Es

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Related Topics

Sports