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Pronóstico: San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves

Five-platform snapshot of "Pronóstico: San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 73% O/U 6.5 66% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 62% Spread -1.5 54% Volume: $53K Liquidity: $356K Closes: 30 Jul 2026
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Pronóstico: San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
73% 27% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
73% 27% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.573%
O/U 6.566%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.562%
Spread -1.554%
O/U 7.554%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.554%
NRFI49%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.549%
O/U 8.546%
Spread -2.542%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.537%
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves32%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.526%
Spread -1.521%
Spread -2.515%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.514%
Extra Innings7%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 73% probability to pronóstico: san diego padres vs. atlanta braves. In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Atlanta Braves, scheduled for July 23 at 12:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. Th…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 73% for "Pronóstico: San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 73% Other 27%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $53K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Related Topics

Sports