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Pronóstico: New York City FC vs. Nashville SC - More Markets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Pronóstico: New York City FC vs. Nashville SC - More Markets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

O/U 0.5 95% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 82% O/U 1.5 80% Nashville SC O/U 0.5 80% Volume: $94K Liquidity: $464K Closes: 4 Sept 2026
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Pronóstico: New York City FC vs. Nashville SC - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
95% 5% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
95% 5% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.595%
2nd Half O/U 0.582%
O/U 1.580%
Nashville SC O/U 0.580%
New York City FC O/U 0.574%
1st Half O/U 0.573%
Nashville SC 2nd Half O/U 0.566%
Both Teams to Score60%
O/U 2.556%
New York City FC 2nd Half O/U 0.553%
Nashville SC O/U 1.550%
Nashville SC 2nd Half (-1.5)50%
New York City FC 2nd Half (-1.5)50%
New York City FC 2nd Half (-2.5)50%
Nashville SC 2nd Half (-2.5)50%
Nashville SC 1st Half O/U 0.549%
2nd Half O/U 1.549%
New York City FC 1st Half O/U 0.545%
1st Half O/U 1.538%
New York City FC O/U 1.537%
O/U 3.534%
Nashville SC 2nd Half O/U 1.532%
Nashville SC 1st Half O/U 1.531%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half30%
Nashville SC 1st Half (-2.5)28%
Nashville SC (-1.5)23%
Both Teams to Score in First Half23%
Nashville SC O/U 2.522%
2nd Half O/U 2.521%
O/U 4.517%
New York City FC 2nd Half O/U 1.516%
1st Half O/U 2.514%
New York City FC (-1.5)12%
New York City FC O/U 2.512%
New York City FC 1st Half O/U 1.512%
Nashville SC (-2.5)10%
Nashville SC 1st Half (-1.5)10%
O/U 5.58%
New York City FC 1st Half (-2.5)8%
New York City FC 1st Half (-1.5)6%
New York City FC (-2.5)4%

Market context

New York City FC vs. Nashville SC - More Markets. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 13% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-09-04T23:30:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.

Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.

Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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