Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
99% | 1% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
99% | 1% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1Q O/U 1.5 | 99% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 99% |
| O/U 18.5 | 87% |
| O/U 24.5 | 67% |
| O/U 22.5 | 62% |
| Spread -1.5 | 54% |
| O/U 16.5 | 54% |
| O/U 20.5 | 54% |
| O/U 28.5 | 53% |
| Seahawks O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Chiefs O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Chiefs O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| O/U 40.5 | 50% |
| O/U 44.5 | 50% |
| O/U 46.5 | 50% |
| O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Chiefs O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Chiefs O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Chiefs O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Chiefs O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Seahawks by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Seahawks by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Seahawks by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Seahawks by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Seahawks by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Chiefs by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Chiefs by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Chiefs by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Chiefs by 21+ | 50% |
| Seahawks Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Chiefs Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks vs. Chiefs: Total Defensive/Special Teams TDs O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks vs. Chiefs: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Chiefs 1H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Chiefs 1H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Chiefs 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks 1H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks 1H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| O/U 26.5 | 49% |
| 1H O/U 17.5 | 45% |
| Seahawks vs. Chiefs | 42% |
| Spread -1.5 | 39% |
| Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| O/U 30.5 | 37% |
| Spread -4.5 | 31% |
| Spread -3.5 | 29% |
| O/U 33.5 | 26% |
| O/U 34.5 | 24% |
| O/U 35.5 | 18% |
| O/U 36.5 | 17% |
| O/U 38.5 | 16% |
| O/U 42.5 | 9% |
| O/U 48.5 | 5% |
| O/U 54.5 | 3% |
Market context
Market consensus: 99% chance of pronóstico: seahawks vs. chiefs. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for August 28 at 8:00PM ET: If Seahawks wins, the market will resolve to "Seahawks". If Chiefs wins, the market will resolve to "Chiefs". If the…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $125K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Pronóstico: Seahawks vs. Chiefs on Polymarket Qué Es
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