Pronóstico: CD Los Chankas vs. Sport Boys Association - More Markets

Platform comparison

Market context

CD Los Chankas secured a 1–0 victory over Sport Boys Association in the opening fixture of Peru’s Liga 1 Clausura tournament on Sunday, 19 July 2026, at Estadio Los Chankas [3][4]. The match, played at 11:00 a.m. Lima time (12:00 p.m. ET), concluded with a narrow win for the home side, confirming the outcome that the prediction market now reflects as settled [3].

On Polymarket, this contract trades at 0% YES today, aligning with the on-chain settlement that has already occurred given the game’s completion before the 2026-07-19T16:00:00Z window closed [3]. Historical precedents for Liga 1 matches settled post-event show immediate price convergence to 0% or 100% once official results are verified on Polygon, with USDC conditional tokens redeeming automatically upon oracle confirmation [1]. Traders reading this 0% price should note it is not a forecast but a reflection of the final score: Los Chankas 1, Sport Boys 0 [3].

With the result confirmed, no further catalysts—such as lineup announcements, injury updates, or schedule changes—will alter the settlement, as the event dependency has been fulfilled [2][4]. The market’s closure is now purely mechanical, dependent on the oracle’s finalisation of the match data on-chain, a process typically completed within hours of the official result being published by Liga 1 or ESPN [1][3].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4

Methodology

We track Pronóstico: CD Los Chankas vs. Sport Boys Association - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.