Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
96% | 4% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
96% | 4% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 96% |
| GNK Dinamo Zagreb O/U 0.5 | 88% |
| O/U 1.5 | 83% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 82% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 76% |
| Viking FK O/U 0.5 | 67% |
| GNK Dinamo Zagreb 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 67% |
| O/U 2.5 | 61% |
| Both Teams to Score | 61% |
| GNK Dinamo Zagreb O/U 1.5 | 61% |
| Team to Advance | 61% |
| GNK Dinamo Zagreb 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 60% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 53% |
| Viking FK 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 48% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 41% |
| Viking FK 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 39% |
| O/U 3.5 | 38% |
| GNK Dinamo Zagreb (-1.5) | 34% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 33% |
| GNK Dinamo Zagreb O/U 2.5 | 32% |
| GNK Dinamo Zagreb 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 32% |
| Viking FK O/U 1.5 | 31% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 26% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 24% |
| GNK Dinamo Zagreb 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 23% |
| O/U 4.5 | 20% |
| GNK Dinamo Zagreb (-2.5) | 17% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 16% |
| Viking FK 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 15% |
| O/U 5.5 | 10% |
| Viking FK O/U 2.5 | 10% |
| Viking FK 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 10% |
| Viking FK (-1.5) | 7% |
| Viking FK (-2.5) | 2% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 96% probability to pronóstico: gnk dinamo zagreb vs. viking fk - more markets. More markets for the UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for August 18 at 3:00 PM ET.
Methodology
This page reviews Pronóstico: GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. Viking FK - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Pronóstico: GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. Viking FK - More M… on Polymarket Qué Es
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →