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Pronóstico: NEC vs. Olympiakós SFP - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "Pronóstico: NEC vs. Olympiakós SFP - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 0.5 94% O/U 1.5 78% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 78% Olympiakós SFP O/U 0.5 77% Volume: $72K Liquidity: $937K Closes: 11 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: NEC vs. Olympiakós SFP - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
94% 6% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
94% 6% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.594%
O/U 1.578%
2nd Half O/U 0.578%
Olympiakós SFP O/U 0.577%
NEC O/U 0.576%
1st Half O/U 0.571%
Both Teams to Score57%
Olympiakós SFP 2nd Half O/U 0.556%
NEC 2nd Half O/U 0.553%
O/U 2.552%
Olympiakós SFP 1st Half O/U 0.547%
2nd Half O/U 1.546%
Team to Advance46%
NEC 1st Half O/U 0.545%
Olympiakós SFP O/U 1.542%
NEC O/U 1.538%
1st Half O/U 1.534%
O/U 3.531%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half30%
Both Teams to Score in First Half21%
2nd Half O/U 2.520%
Olympiakós SFP 2nd Half O/U 1.520%
Olympiakós SFP (-1.5)17%
Olympiakós SFP O/U 2.517%
NEC 2nd Half O/U 1.517%
NEC (-1.5)14%
O/U 4.514%
NEC O/U 2.514%
Olympiakós SFP 1st Half O/U 1.514%
1st Half O/U 2.512%
NEC 1st Half O/U 1.512%
Olympiakós SFP (-2.5)7%
O/U 5.56%
NEC (-2.5)5%

Market context

Market consensus: 94% chance of pronóstico: nec vs. olympiakós sfp - more markets. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. More markets for the UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for August 11 at 1:30 PM ET.

Methodology

This page reviews Pronóstico: NEC vs. Olympiakós SFP - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Related Topics

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