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Pronóstico: UFC Fight Night: Austin Bashi vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Prelims)

Five-platform snapshot of "Pronóstico: UFC Fight Night: Austin Bashi vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Prelims)" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Fight to Go the Distance? 100% O/U 0.5 Rounds 100% O/U 1.5 Rounds 100% O/U 2.5 Rounds 100% Volume: $1.5M Closes: 19 Jul 2026
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Pronóstico: UFC Fight Night: Austin Bashi vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Prelims)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Fight to Go the Distance?100%
O/U 0.5 Rounds100%
O/U 1.5 Rounds100%
O/U 2.5 Rounds100%
Austin Bashi vs. Jose Miguel Delgado0%
Fight won by KO/TKO?0%
Bashi to win by KO/TKO?0%
Delgado to win by KO/TKO?0%
Fight won by submission?0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to pronóstico: ufc fight night: austin bashi vs. jose miguel delgado (featherweight, prelims). This market will resolve to "Austin Bashi" if Austin Bashi is officially declared the winner of the fight against Jose Miguel Delgado at UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman, scheduled for July 18, 2…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Fight to Go the Distance? at 100% for "Pronóstico: UFC Fight Night: Austin Bashi vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Prelims)".

Fight to Go the Distance? 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $1.5M.

Methodology

This page reviews Pronóstico: UFC Fight Night: Austin Bashi vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Prelims) across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

Trade Pronóstico: UFC Fight Night: Austin Bashi vs. Jose M… on Polymarket Qué Es

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