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Pronóstico: UFC Fight Night: Duško Todorovic vs. Robert Valentin (Middleweight, Main Card)

Live odds for "Pronóstico: UFC Fight Night: Duško Todorovic vs. Robert Valentin (Middleweight, Main Card)" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Fight won by submission? 100% O/U 0.5 Rounds 53% Fight won by KO/TKO? 49% O/U 2.5 Rounds 46% Volume: $314K Liquidity: $3K Closes: 2 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: UFC Fight Night: Duško Todorovic vs. Robert Valentin (Middleweight, Main Card)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Fight won by submission?100%
O/U 0.5 Rounds53%
Fight won by KO/TKO?49%
O/U 2.5 Rounds46%
Todorovic to win by KO/TKO?25%
Valentin to win by KO/TKO?25%
O/U 1.5 Rounds13%
Fight to Go the Distance?1%
Duško Todorovic vs. Robert Valentin0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of pronóstico: ufc fight night: duško todorovic vs. robert valentin (middleweight, main card). Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market will resolve to "Duško Todorovic" if Duško Todorovic is officially declared the winner of the fight against Robert Valentin at UFC Fight Night: Medić vs. Rodriguez, sch…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Fight won by submission? at 100% for "Pronóstico: UFC Fight Night: Duško Todorovic vs. Robert Valentin (Middleweight, Main Card)".

Fight won by submission? 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $314K.

Methodology

This page reviews Pronóstico: UFC Fight Night: Duško Todorovic vs. Robert Valentin (Middleweight, Main Card) across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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