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Pronóstico: UFC Fight Night: Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)

Five-platform snapshot of "Pronóstico: UFC Fight Night: Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Fight to Go the Distance? 100% O/U 0.5 Rounds 100% O/U 1.5 Rounds 100% O/U 2.5 Rounds 100% Volume: $587K Liquidity: $5 Closes: 27 Sept 2026
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Pronóstico: UFC Fight Night: Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Fight to Go the Distance?100%
O/U 0.5 Rounds100%
O/U 1.5 Rounds100%
O/U 2.5 Rounds100%
Fight won by decision?100%
Decision or Draw100%
Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez0%
Fight won by KO/TKO?0%
Dumont to win by KO/TKO?0%
Perez to win by KO/TKO?0%
Fight won by submission?0%
Ends before Round 2?0%
Ends before Round 3?0%
Dumont in Round 10%
Dumont in Round 20%
Dumont in Round 30%
Perez in Round 10%
Perez in Round 20%
Perez in Round 30%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to pronóstico: ufc fight night: norma dumont vs. ailin perez (women's bantamweight, prelims). This market will resolve to "Norma Dumont" if Norma Dumont is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ailin Perez at UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos, scheduled for September 26, 20…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Fight to Go the Distance? at 100% for "Pronóstico: UFC Fight Night: Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)".

Fight to Go the Distance? 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $587K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
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Trade Pronóstico: UFC Fight Night: Norma Dumont vs. Ailin … on Polymarket Qué Es

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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Related Topics

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