Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

Pronóstico: UFC Fight Night: Theodor Berggren vs. Da… — Live Probability Forecast

Name: Pronóstico: UFC Fight Night: Theodor Berggren vs. Daniil Donchenko (Welterweight, Prelims)
Start: 2026-06-21T22:02:11.834Z
End: 2026-06-28T03:59:59.999Z

Platform comparison

Platform	YES odds	NO odds	Fee	KYC	Settlement
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink	0%	100%	0% (USDC on-chain)	No-KYC up to $1,500	USDC, auto via UMA oracle	Open on PolyGram →
Polymarket polymarket.com	0%	100%	0%	Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU	USDC, on-chain	Open on PolyGram →
Kalshi kalshi.com	—	—	Up to 7% per trade	US-only, KYC required	USD	Open on PolyGram →
Betfair Exchange betfair.com	—	—	2-5% commission	Full KYC from first trade	GBP / EUR	Open on PolyGram →
Manifold Markets manifold.markets	—	—	Play-money (mana)	None — play-money	Mana (no cash-out)	Open on PolyGram →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.

Active sub-markets

Theodor Berggren vs. Daniil Donchenko	0% Theodor Berggren	100% Daniil Donchenko
Fight to Go the Distance?	0% YES	100% NO
Fight won by KO/TKO?	100% YES	0% NO
Berggren to win by KO/TKO?	0% YES	100% NO
Donchenko to win by KO/TKO?	100% YES	0% NO
Fight won by submission?	0% YES	100% NO

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, pronóstico: ufc fight night: theodor berggren vs. daniil donchenko (welterweight, prelims) stands at 0% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market will resolve to "Theodor Berggren" if Theodor Berggren is officially declared the winner of the fight against Daniil Donchenko at UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres, sc…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Theodor Berggren at 0% for "Pronóstico: UFC Fight Night: Theodor Berggren vs. Daniil Donchenko (Welterweight, Prelims)".

Theodor Berggren 0% Other 100%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $185K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?: On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?: PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?: A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?: Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
Do I need to KYC for this market?: Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

Chris ReedPolitical Forecasting Editorand

Maya TorresFinancial Markets Writer

Trade Pronóstico: UFC Fight Night: Theodor Berggren vs. Da… on PolyGram

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Trade on PolyGram →

Pronóstico: UFC Fight Night: Theodor Berggren vs. Daniil Donchenko (Welterweight, Prelims)

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Live Data & Statistics

Methodology

Resolution & payout

FAQ

Trade Pronóstico: UFC Fight Night: Theodor Berggren vs. Da… on PolyGram

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