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Pronóstico: UFC 329: Zachary Reese vs. Ryan Gandra (Middleweight, Early Prelims)

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Pronóstico: UFC 329: Zachary Reese vs. Ryan Gandra (Middleweight, Early Prelims)" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Polymarket Qué Es.

O/U 0.5 Rounds 68% Fight won by KO/TKO? 57% Zachary Reese vs. Ryan Gandra 45% Gandra to win by KO/TKO? 43% Volume: $210K Liquidity: $121K Closes: 12 Jul 2026
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Pronóstico: UFC 329: Zachary Reese vs. Ryan Gandra (Middleweight, Early Prelims)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
68% 32% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
68% 32% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5 Rounds68%
Fight won by KO/TKO?57%
Zachary Reese vs. Ryan Gandra45%
Gandra to win by KO/TKO?43%
O/U 1.5 Rounds38%
O/U 2.5 Rounds22%
Fight won by submission?19%
Fight to Go the Distance?16%
Reese to win by KO/TKO?14%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 68% probability to pronóstico: ufc 329: zachary reese vs. ryan gandra (middleweight, early prelims). This market will resolve to "Zachary Reese" if Zachary Reese is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ryan Gandra at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026. It wi…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 0.5 Rounds at 68% for "Pronóstico: UFC 329: Zachary Reese vs. Ryan Gandra (Middleweight, Early Prelims)".

O/U 0.5 Rounds 68% Other 32%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $210K.

Methodology

We track Pronóstico: UFC 329: Zachary Reese vs. Ryan Gandra (Middleweight, Early Prelims) across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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