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Pronóstico: San Marino vs. Albania - Exact Score

Five-platform snapshot of "Pronóstico: San Marino vs. Albania - Exact Score" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Any Other Score 46% San Marino 0 - 3 Albania 17% San Marino 0 - 2 Albania 14% San Marino 0 - 1 Albania 8% Volume: $69K Liquidity: $869K Closes: 29 Sept 2026
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Pronóstico: San Marino vs. Albania - Exact Score

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
46% 54% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
46% 54% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Any Other Score46%
San Marino 0 - 3 Albania17%
San Marino 0 - 2 Albania14%
San Marino 0 - 1 Albania8%
San Marino 1 - 3 Albania5%
San Marino 1 - 2 Albania4%
San Marino 0 - 0 Albania2%
San Marino 1 - 1 Albania2%
San Marino 1 - 0 Albania1%
San Marino 2 - 2 Albania1%
San Marino 2 - 3 Albania1%
San Marino 2 - 0 Albania0%
San Marino 2 - 1 Albania0%
San Marino 3 - 0 Albania0%
San Marino 3 - 1 Albania0%
San Marino 3 - 2 Albania0%
San Marino 3 - 3 Albania0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 46% probability to pronóstico: san marino vs. albania - exact score. In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between San Marino and Albania, scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the San Marino vs. Albania…

Methodology

We track Pronóstico: San Marino vs. Albania - Exact Score across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Trade Pronóstico: San Marino vs. Albania - Exact Score on Polymarket Qué Es

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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