Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Map Handicap: GX (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: GIANTX (-2.5) vs Eternal Fire (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: GIANTX (-3.5) vs Eternal Fire (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: GIANTX (-4.5) vs Eternal Fire (+4.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: GIANTX (-5.5) vs Eternal Fire (+5.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: GIANTX (-7.5) vs Eternal Fire (+7.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: GIANTX (-6.5) vs Eternal Fire (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: GIANTX (-2.5) vs Eternal Fire (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: GIANTX (-3.5) vs Eternal Fire (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: GIANTX (-4.5) vs Eternal Fire (+4.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: GIANTX (-5.5) vs Eternal Fire (+5.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-3.5) vs GIANTX (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-3.5) vs GIANTX (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-4.5) vs GIANTX (+4.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of pronóstico: valorant: eternal fire vs giantx (bo3) - vct emea group omega. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Valorant match between Eternal Fire and GIANTX in the VCT EMEA Group Omega, initially scheduled for July 25 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Et…
Methodology
This page reviews Pronóstico: Valorant: Eternal Fire vs GIANTX (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Pronóstico: Valorant: Eternal Fire vs GIANTX (BO3) -… on Polymarket Qué Es
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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