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Pronóstico: Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Pronóstico: Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 100% Volume: $671K Liquidity: $688K Closes: 7 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map Handicap: EG (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-3.5) vs FURIA Esports (+3.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-5.5) vs FURIA Esports (+5.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-4.5) vs FURIA Esports (+4.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-6.5) vs FURIA Esports (+6.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-7.5) vs FURIA Esports (+7.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-8.5) vs FURIA Esports (+8.5)90%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.590%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-9.5) vs FURIA Esports (+9.5)90%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-2.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.510%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-10.5) vs FURIA Esports (+10.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-2.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+2.5)1%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.51%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-2.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+2.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-3.5) vs FURIA Esports (+3.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-4.5) vs FURIA Esports (+4.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-5.5) vs FURIA Esports (+5.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-6.5) vs FURIA Esports (+6.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-3.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+3.5)1%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.51%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5)0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of pronóstico: valorant: evil geniuses vs furia esports (bo3) - vct americas stage 2 group alpha. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Valorant match between Evil Geniuses and FURIA Esports in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha, initially scheduled for August 6 at 5:00PM ET. This marke…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

Trade Pronóstico: Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs FURIA Esports… on Polymarket Qué Es

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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