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Pronóstico: Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Pronóstico: Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Polymarket Qué Es.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 66% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 66% Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 65% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 56% Volume: $100K Liquidity: $308K Closes: 1 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
66% 34% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
66% 34% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.566%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.566%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.565%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.556%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.556%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.556%
Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5)54%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+3.5)53%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+3.5)53%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+3.5)51%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-4.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+4.5)46%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-4.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+4.5)46%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.545%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.545%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.544%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-4.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+4.5)44%
O/U 2.5 Games38%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.534%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.533%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.533%
Map 1 Winner27%
Map 2 Winner25%
Match Winner20%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, pronóstico: valorant: evil geniuses vs mibr (bo3) - vct americas stage 2 group alpha stands at 66% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Valorant match between Evil Geniuses and MIBR in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha, initially scheduled for July 31 at 8:00PM ET. This market will res…

Methodology

We track Pronóstico: Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

Trade Pronóstico: Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs MIBR (BO3) - … on Polymarket Qué Es

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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