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Pronóstico: Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins

Five-platform snapshot of "Pronóstico: Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 90% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 90% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 90% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 90% Volume: $611K Liquidity: $486K Closes: 12 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
90% 10% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
90% 10% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.590%
Map Handicap: SGE (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)53%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-4.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+4.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eintracht Frankfurt (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eintracht Frankfurt (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eintracht Frankfurt (-5.5) vs Gentle Mates (+5.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eintracht Frankfurt (-4.5) vs Gentle Mates (+4.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.550%
Map 2 Winner48%
O/U 2.5 Games48%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.545%
Match Winner30%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+2.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eintracht Frankfurt (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eintracht Frankfurt (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eintracht Frankfurt (-5.5) vs Gentle Mates (+5.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eintracht Frankfurt (-4.5) vs Gentle Mates (+4.5)10%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+1.5)1%
Map 1 Winner0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 90% YES probability for Pronóstico: Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins. This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket round 1 match between Gentle Mates and Eintracht Frankfurt in the VCT EMEA Play-Ins, initially scheduled for August 12 at 11:00AM ET. This market will…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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