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Pronóstico: Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs 2GAME Esports (BO5) - VCL Americas: Last Chance Qualifier Playoffs

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Pronóstico: Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs 2GAME Esports (BO5) - VCL Americas: Last Chance Qualifier Playoffs" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 2 Winner 100% O/U 3.5 Games 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 100% Volume: $81K Liquidity: $45K Closes: 30 Jul 2026
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Pronóstico: Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs 2GAME Esports (BO5) - VCL Americas: Last Chance Qualifier Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
O/U 3.5 Games100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.599%
Match Winner72%
Map 3 Winner64%
O/U 4.5 Games50%
Map Handicap: SRB (-1.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+1.5)50%
Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Shopify Rebellion Black (-2.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+2.5)50%
Map 5 Rounds Handicap: Shopify Rebellion Black (-2.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+2.5)50%
Map 4 Rounds Handicap: Shopify Rebellion Black (-2.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 5 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 5 Rounds Handicap: Shopify Rebellion Black (-3.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+3.5)50%
Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 5 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 4 Rounds Handicap: Shopify Rebellion Black (-3.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Shopify Rebellion Black (-3.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+3.5)50%
Map 4 Rounds Handicap: Shopify Rebellion Black (-4.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+4.5)50%
Map 4 Winner48%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Shopify Rebellion Black (-3.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+3.5)1%
Map Handicap: 2GAME (-2.5) vs Shopify Rebellion Black (+2.5)1%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Shopify Rebellion Black (-4.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+4.5)1%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: SRB (-2.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+2.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Shopify Rebellion Black (-2.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Shopify Rebellion Black (-2.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Shopify Rebellion Black (-3.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+3.5)0%

Market context

Pronóstico: Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs 2GAME Esports (BO5) - VCL Americas: Last Chance Qualifier Playoffs — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market refers to the Valorant Grand final match between Shopify Rebellion Black and 2GAME Esports in the VCL Americas: Last Chance Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 29 at 3:00PM ET…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
and

Trade Pronóstico: Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs 2GA… on Polymarket Qué Es

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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