Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
90% | 10% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
90% | 10% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Rhyne Howard: Points O/U 18.5 | 90% |
| Allisha Gray: Points O/U 16.5 | 90% |
| Kiki Iriafen: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 90% |
| Allisha Gray: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 90% |
| Jordin Canada: Assists O/U 5.5 | 90% |
| Angel Reese: Rebounds O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Jordin Canada: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jordin Canada: Assists O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Rhyne Howard: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Allisha Gray: Points O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Jordin Canada: Points O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Angel Reese: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Kiki Iriafen: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Kiki Iriafen: Points O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Allisha Gray: Assists O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Angel Reese: Assists O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Sonia Citron: Points O/U 17.5 | 10% |
| Angel Reese: Points O/U 14.5 | 10% |
| Kiki Iriafen: Points O/U 14.5 | 10% |
| Jordin Canada: Points O/U 10.5 | 10% |
| Rhyne Howard: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 10% |
| Sonia Citron: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 10% |
| Sonia Citron: Assists O/U 3.5 | 10% |
| Atlanta Dream vs. Washington Mystics | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| O/U 166.5 | 0% |
| O/U 165.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| O/U 164.5 | 0% |
| Rhyne Howard: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 167.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 90% chance of pronóstico: atlanta dream vs. washington mystics. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for July 2 at 7:30PM ET: If the Atlanta Dream win, the market will resolve to "Atlanta Dream". If the Washington Mystics win, the market will r…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $368K.
Methodology
This page reviews Pronóstico: Atlanta Dream vs. Washington Mystics across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Pronóstico: Atlanta Dream vs. Washington Mystics on Polymarket Qué Es
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