Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
69% | 31% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
69% | 31% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream vs. Washington Mystics | 69% |
| Spread -4.5 | 56% |
| Spread -5.5 | 54% |
| O/U 169.5 | 53% |
| O/U 170.5 | 52% |
| O/U 171.5 | 48% |
| Sonia Citron: Assists O/U 3.5 | 34% |
| Rhyne Howard: Points O/U 16.5 | 34% |
| Kiki Iriafen: Assists O/U 1.5 | 33% |
| Kiki Iriafen: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 31% |
| Allisha Gray: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 31% |
| Rhyne Howard: Assists O/U 3.5 | 31% |
| Allisha Gray: Points O/U 17.5 | 31% |
| Shakira Austin: Points O/U 17.5 | 30% |
| Shakira Austin: Assists O/U 2.5 | 29% |
| Kiki Iriafen: Points O/U 15.5 | 28% |
| Rhyne Howard: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 28% |
| Allisha Gray: Assists O/U 2.5 | 28% |
| Rhyne Howard: Points O/U 17.5 | 27% |
| Sonia Citron: Points O/U 16.5 | 27% |
| Allisha Gray: Points O/U 18.5 | 26% |
| Sonia Citron: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 26% |
| Shakira Austin: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 25% |
| Angel Reese: Points O/U 15.5 | 24% |
| Angel Reese: Assists O/U 2.5 | 24% |
| Angel Reese: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 23% |
Market context
Market consensus: 69% chance of pronóstico: atlanta dream vs. washington mystics. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 7 at 7:30PM ET: If the Atlanta Dream win, the market will resolve to "Atlanta Dream". If the Washington Mystics win, the market will…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $75K.
Methodology
We track Pronóstico: Atlanta Dream vs. Washington Mystics across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Pronóstico: Atlanta Dream vs. Washington Mystics on Polymarket Qué Es
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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