Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
66% | 34% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
66% | 34% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 66% |
| Atlanta Dream vs. Washington Mystics | 61% |
| 1H Moneyline | 57% |
| O/U 164.5 | 56% |
| Sonia Citron: Points O/U 15.5 | 55% |
| O/U 165.5 | 55% |
| Rhyne Howard: Points O/U 18.5 | 53% |
| O/U 166.5 | 53% |
| 2H Moneyline | 52% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 82.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 41.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 51% |
| Shakira Austin: Assists O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 41.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 41.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 41.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Spread -3.5 | 49% |
| Rhyne Howard: Points O/U 19.5 | 47% |
| Angel Reese: Points O/U 14.5 | 46% |
| Jordin Canada: Assists O/U 7.5 | 46% |
| Allisha Gray: Points O/U 18.5 | 45% |
| Shakira Austin: Points O/U 17.5 | 45% |
| Jordin Canada: Points O/U 10.5 | 45% |
| Sonia Citron: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 45% |
| Rhyne Howard: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 45% |
| 1H O/U 82.5 | 45% |
| Spread -4.5 | 45% |
| Angel Reese: Rebounds O/U 12.5 | 43% |
| Allisha Gray: Assists O/U 2.5 | 43% |
| Shakira Austin: Rebounds O/U 10.5 | 42% |
| Sonia Citron: Assists O/U 4.5 | 42% |
| Angel Reese: Assists O/U 2.5 | 42% |
| Allisha Gray: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 41% |
| Rhyne Howard: Assists O/U 3.5 | 41% |
| Jordin Canada: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 38% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 29% |
Market context
Market consensus: 66% chance of pronóstico: atlanta dream vs. washington mystics. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for September 30 at 7:00PM ET: If the Atlanta Dream win, the market will resolve to "Atlanta Dream". If the Washington Mystics win, the market …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $127K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Pronóstico: Atlanta Dream vs. Washington Mystics on Polymarket Qué Es
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