Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
76% | 24% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
76% | 24% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Kamilla Cardoso: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 76% |
| Kamilla Cardoso: Points O/U 14.5 | 62% |
| New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky | 61% |
| Sabrina Ionescu: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 57% |
| Sabrina Ionescu: Points O/U 16.5 | 57% |
| Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| Breanna Stewart: Points O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Sabrina Ionescu: Points O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Kamilla Cardoso: Points O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Azurá Stevens: Points O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Natasha Cloud: Points O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Breanna Stewart: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Azurá Stevens: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Natasha Cloud: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Natasha Cloud: Assists O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Breanna Stewart: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jonquel Jones: Assists O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kamilla Cardoso: Assists O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Azurá Stevens: Assists O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Breanna Stewart: Points O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Kamilla Cardoso: Points O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| Kamilla Cardoso: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Natasha Cloud: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Sabrina Ionescu: Assists O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| O/U 179.5 | 48% |
| O/U 181.5 | 45% |
| O/U 182.5 | 38% |
| Jonquel Jones: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 38% |
| O/U 180.5 | 37% |
| Jonquel Jones: Points O/U 14.5 | 27% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 76% probability to pronóstico: new york liberty vs. chicago sky. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 18 at 9:00PM ET: If the New York Liberty win, the market will resolve to "New York Liberty". If the Chicago Sky win, the market will resolve to "Chicago…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $334K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Pronóstico: New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky on Polymarket Qué Es
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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