Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
71% | 29% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
71% | 29% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Iva Jovic Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 71% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Iva Jovic | 70% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Iva Jovic Set 2 Winner | 65% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Iva Jovic Set 1 Winner | 63% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Iva Jovic Match O/U 21.5 | 53% |
| Completed Match | 50% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Iva Jovic Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Iva Jovic Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Iva Jovic Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Iva Jovic Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Iva Jovic Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 45% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Iva Jovic Match O/U 22.5 | 45% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Iva Jovic Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 40% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Iva Jovic Match O/U 23.5 | 40% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Iva Jovic Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 25% |
Market context
Market consensus: 71% chance of pronóstico: wimbledon wta: jessica pegula vs iva jovic. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Jessica Pegula and Iva Jovic in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for July 5, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to '…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Pronóstico: Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Iva Jovic on Polymarket Qué Es
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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