Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Rebecca Sramkova vs Alevtina Ibragimova Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Rebecca Sramkova vs Alevtina Ibragimova Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Rebecca Sramkova vs Alevtina Ibragimova Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Rebecca Sramkova vs Alevtina Ibragimova | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Rebecca Sramkova vs Alevtina Ibragimova Match O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Rebecca Sramkova vs Alevtina Ibragimova Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Rebecca Sramkova vs Alevtina Ibragimova Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Rebecca Sramkova vs Alevtina Ibragimova Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Rebecca Sramkova vs Alevtina Ibragimova Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Rebecca Sramkova vs Alevtina Ibragimova Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Rebecca Sramkova vs Alevtina Ibragimova Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Rebecca Sramkova vs Alevtina Ibragimova Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Rebecca Sramkova vs Alevtina Ibragimova Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Rebecca Sramkova vs Alevtina Ibragimova Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Rebecca Sramkova vs Alevtina Ibragimova Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Rebecca Sramkova vs Alevtina Ibragimova Game Spread +/-5.5 | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, pronóstico: us open, qualification wta: rebecca sramkova vs alevtina ibragimova stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Rebecca Sramkova and Alevtina Ibragimova in the US Open, Qualification WTA, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. …
Methodology
This page reviews Pronóstico: US Open, Qualification WTA: Rebecca Sramkova vs Alevtina Ibragimova across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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