Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Los Cabos Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Coleman Wong Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Los Cabos Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Coleman Wong Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Los Cabos Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Coleman Wong Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Los Cabos Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Coleman Wong Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| Los Cabos Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Coleman Wong Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Los Cabos Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Coleman Wong Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Los Cabos Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Coleman Wong | 0% |
| Los Cabos Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Coleman Wong Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| Los Cabos Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Coleman Wong Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Los Cabos Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Coleman Wong Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Los Cabos Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Coleman Wong Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Los Cabos Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Coleman Wong Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Los Cabos Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Coleman Wong Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Los Cabos Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Coleman Wong Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, pronóstico: los cabos open: jiri lehecka vs coleman wong stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Jiri Lehecka and Coleman Wong in the Los Cabos Open, originally scheduled for July 29, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve t…
Methodology
This page reviews Pronóstico: Los Cabos Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Coleman Wong across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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