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Pronóstico: US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Pronóstico: US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo Set Handicap +/-1.5 69% US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo Set Handicap +/-2.5 65% US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 8.5 57% Completed Match 50% Volume: $147K Liquidity: $231K Closes: 6 Sept 2026
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Pronóstico: US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
69% 31% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
69% 31% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo Set Handicap +/-1.569%
US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo Set Handicap +/-2.565%
US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 8.557%
Completed Match50%
US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo Match O/U 36.550%
US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 2 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo Match O/U 38.550%
US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 2 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo Match O/U 40.550%
US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 4 Winner50%
US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 2 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 3 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 3 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 3 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 4 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 4 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 4 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo Game Spread +/-8.548%
US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo Total Sets: O/U 3.535%
US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 10.533%
US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 3 Winner21%
US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 Winner18%
US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 2 Winner17%
US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo Total Sets: O/U 4.515%
US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo8%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 69% probability to pronóstico: us open atp: filip misolic vs francisco cerundolo. This market refers to the tennis match between Filip Misolic and Francisco Cerundolo in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Filip Mis…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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Related Topics

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