Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Jingshan: Adam Walton vs Moise Kouame | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Jingshan: Adam Walton vs Moise Kouame Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| Jingshan: Adam Walton vs Moise Kouame Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| Jingshan: Adam Walton vs Moise Kouame Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Jingshan: Adam Walton vs Moise Kouame Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Jingshan: Adam Walton vs Moise Kouame Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| Jingshan: Adam Walton vs Moise Kouame Game Spread +/-3.5 | 100% |
| Jingshan: Adam Walton vs Moise Kouame Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Jingshan: Adam Walton vs Moise Kouame Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Jingshan: Adam Walton vs Moise Kouame Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Jingshan: Adam Walton vs Moise Kouame Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Jingshan: Adam Walton vs Moise Kouame Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Jingshan: Adam Walton vs Moise Kouame Match O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Jingshan: Adam Walton vs Moise Kouame Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| Jingshan: Adam Walton vs Moise Kouame Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of pronóstico: jingshan: adam walton vs moise kouame. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Adam Walton and Moise Kouame in the Jingshan, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to…
Methodology
We track Pronóstico: Jingshan: Adam Walton vs Moise Kouame across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Pronóstico: Jingshan: Adam Walton vs Moise Kouame on Polymarket Qué Es
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