Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Guangzhou 2: Coleman Wong vs Jay Dylan Friend | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Guangzhou 2: Coleman Wong vs Jay Dylan Friend Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| Guangzhou 2: Coleman Wong vs Jay Dylan Friend Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| Guangzhou 2: Coleman Wong vs Jay Dylan Friend Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Guangzhou 2: Coleman Wong vs Jay Dylan Friend Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Guangzhou 2: Coleman Wong vs Jay Dylan Friend Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Guangzhou 2: Coleman Wong vs Jay Dylan Friend Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| Guangzhou 2: Coleman Wong vs Jay Dylan Friend Game Spread +/-3.5 | 100% |
| Guangzhou 2: Coleman Wong vs Jay Dylan Friend Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Guangzhou 2: Coleman Wong vs Jay Dylan Friend Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Guangzhou 2: Coleman Wong vs Jay Dylan Friend Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Guangzhou 2: Coleman Wong vs Jay Dylan Friend Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Guangzhou 2: Coleman Wong vs Jay Dylan Friend Match O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Guangzhou 2: Coleman Wong vs Jay Dylan Friend Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| Guangzhou 2: Coleman Wong vs Jay Dylan Friend Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Guangzhou 2: Coleman Wong vs Jay Dylan Friend Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to pronóstico: guangzhou 2: coleman wong vs jay dylan friend. This market refers to the tennis match between Coleman Wong and Jay Dylan Friend in the Guangzhou 2, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Coleman Wong…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Trade Pronóstico: Guangzhou 2: Coleman Wong vs Jay Dylan F… on Polymarket Qué Es
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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