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Pronóstico: Cincinnati Open: Sloane Stephens vs Anastasia Potapova

Five-platform snapshot of "Pronóstico: Cincinnati Open: Sloane Stephens vs Anastasia Potapova" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Cincinnati Open: Sloane Stephens vs Anastasia Potapova 100% Completed Match 100% Cincinnati Open: Sloane Stephens vs Anastasia Potapova Set 1 Winner 100% Cincinnati Open: Sloane Stephens vs Anastasia Potapova Set 2 Winner 100% Volume: $207K Closes: 23 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: Cincinnati Open: Sloane Stephens vs Anastasia Potapova

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Cincinnati Open: Sloane Stephens vs Anastasia Potapova100%
Completed Match100%
Cincinnati Open: Sloane Stephens vs Anastasia Potapova Set 1 Winner100%
Cincinnati Open: Sloane Stephens vs Anastasia Potapova Set 2 Winner100%
Cincinnati Open: Sloane Stephens vs Anastasia Potapova Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Cincinnati Open: Sloane Stephens vs Anastasia Potapova Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Cincinnati Open: Sloane Stephens vs Anastasia Potapova Match O/U 21.50%
Cincinnati Open: Sloane Stephens vs Anastasia Potapova Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Cincinnati Open: Sloane Stephens vs Anastasia Potapova Set 1 O/U 8.50%
Cincinnati Open: Sloane Stephens vs Anastasia Potapova Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Cincinnati Open: Sloane Stephens vs Anastasia Potapova Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Cincinnati Open: Sloane Stephens vs Anastasia Potapova Match O/U 22.50%
Cincinnati Open: Sloane Stephens vs Anastasia Potapova Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Cincinnati Open: Sloane Stephens vs Anastasia Potapova Match O/U 23.50%
Cincinnati Open: Sloane Stephens vs Anastasia Potapova Set 2 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, pronóstico: cincinnati open: sloane stephens vs anastasia potapova stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Sloane Stephens and Anastasia Potapova in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market w…

Methodology

This page reviews Pronóstico: Cincinnati Open: Sloane Stephens vs Anastasia Potapova across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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