Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-3.5) vs Team Liquid (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-5.5) vs Team Liquid (+5.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-4.5) vs Team Liquid (+4.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-6.5) vs Team Liquid (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-7.5) vs Team Liquid (+7.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-8.5) vs Team Liquid (+8.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-2.5) vs Paper Rex (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-3.5) vs Paper Rex (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-4.5) vs Paper Rex (+4.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-5.5) vs Paper Rex (+5.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Paper Rex (+1.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-3.5) vs Team Liquid (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-5.5) vs Team Liquid (+5.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-4.5) vs Team Liquid (+4.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-6.5) vs Team Liquid (+6.5) | 50% |
| Match Winner | 8% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-3.5) vs Team Liquid (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-4.5) vs Team Liquid (+4.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-6.5) vs Paper Rex (+6.5) | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of pronóstico: valorant: team liquid vs paper rex (bo3) - vct champions group c. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Valorant match between Team Liquid and Paper Rex in the VCT Champions Group C, initially scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will…
Methodology
We track Pronóstico: Valorant: Team Liquid vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Pronóstico: Valorant: Team Liquid vs Paper Rex (BO3)… on Polymarket Qué Es
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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