Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
50% | 50% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
50% | 50% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Any Other Score | 50% |
| SC Internacional 1 - 0 Clube do Remo | 37% |
| SC Internacional 2 - 0 Clube do Remo | 37% |
| SC Internacional 2 - 1 Clube do Remo | 28% |
| SC Internacional 1 - 1 Clube do Remo | 27% |
| SC Internacional 3 - 1 Clube do Remo | 27% |
| SC Internacional 1 - 2 Clube do Remo | 25% |
| SC Internacional 3 - 3 Clube do Remo | 25% |
| SC Internacional 3 - 0 Clube do Remo | 24% |
| SC Internacional 3 - 2 Clube do Remo | 21% |
| SC Internacional 2 - 3 Clube do Remo | 14% |
| SC Internacional 2 - 2 Clube do Remo | 11% |
| SC Internacional 1 - 3 Clube do Remo | 1% |
| SC Internacional 0 - 0 Clube do Remo | 0% |
| SC Internacional 0 - 1 Clube do Remo | 0% |
| SC Internacional 0 - 2 Clube do Remo | 0% |
| SC Internacional 0 - 3 Clube do Remo | 0% |
Market context
Polymarket has this exact-score contract at 0% YES, which leaves the market priced as if no listed scoreline is being given any meaningful weight. For a regulation-time exact score, that tends to signal an outcome the crowd sees as effectively dead, even though the settlement still depends only on 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalties excluded.
SC Internacional versus Clube do Remo is a live Brazil Série A fixture at Estádio Beira-Rio in Porto Alegre, and the market sits on conditional tokens settled in USDC on Polygon, so the final print is binary once the match result is confirmed. The comparable read is simple: exact-score markets usually move only when a trader can anchor a specific low-scoring or lopsided result, and a 0% line usually reflects either a mispriced name, an unlisted score, or a contract that the crowd has effectively written off.
For traders, the key catalysts are not abstract team strength but match completion risk and timing: line-ups, referee confirmation, kick-off status, and any late postponement or rescheduling matter more than pre-match narratives. The event was scheduled for 17 August 2026 at 7:00 PM ET / 23:00 UTC, and live football feeds had it listed for Beira-Rio with Edina Alves Batista as referee, so any official change to venue, start time, or postponement would be the main driver of repricing before the settlement window closes.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Pronóstico: SC Internacional vs. Clube do Remo - Exa… on Polymarket Qué Es
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