Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| SC Internacional 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| SC Internacional O/U 0.5 | 99% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 68% |
| O/U 1.5 | 54% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 52% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| SC Internacional 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| SC Internacional 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Clube do Remo 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Clube do Remo 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| SC Internacional O/U 1.5 | 43% |
| SC Internacional O/U 2.5 | 38% |
| SC Internacional (-1.5) | 33% |
| Clube do Remo O/U 0.5 | 28% |
| Both Teams to Score | 22% |
| Clube do Remo O/U 2.5 | 22% |
| O/U 2.5 | 18% |
| SC Internacional (-2.5) | 16% |
| O/U 3.5 | 4% |
| Clube do Remo O/U 1.5 | 2% |
| Clube do Remo (-1.5) | 1% |
| O/U 4.5 | 1% |
| O/U 5.5 | 1% |
| Clube do Remo (-2.5) | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| SC Internacional 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Clube do Remo 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Clube do Remo 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
SC Internacional host Clube do Remo in a Série A match in Porto Alegre, and Polymarket has this “more markets” contract at 33% YES, which is a low-to-mid price for a yes/no settlement that will be decided by the specific market’s result rather than the general match narrative. In practical terms, traders are holding USDC on Polygon and buying conditional tokens that pay out only if the chosen outcome settles true, so the market price is best read as the crowd’s current view of that exact clause by the settlement deadline.
The 33% level sits below a simple coin-flip read, which usually means traders are discounting either an unfavourable line on the underlying football event or a wording that only clears under a narrower set of match conditions. That matters because comparable Brazilian domestic fixtures often move sharply on team news and late line-up changes, but once kick-off passes the market usually tightens quickly as the on-chain resolution path becomes clearer. With the settlement window ending on 2026-08-17T23:00:00Z, the contract is effectively pricing what is known before full-time, not the final spectacle after it.
A trader watching this market should focus on official team announcements, confirmed kick-off timing, and any schedule or competition updates that could alter how the market’s rule is applied. Public fixtures placed the game at Beira-Rio on 17 August at 19:00 ET, while contemporaneous listings also showed 23:00 UTC, so any last-minute change in venue, postponement, or classification would matter more here than generic form notes.
Methodology
This page reviews Pronóstico: SC Internacional vs. Clube do Remo - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Pronóstico: SC Internacional vs. Clube do Remo - Mor… on Polymarket Qué Es
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