Pronóstico: The Hundred: London Spirit vs MI London

Platform comparison

Market context

London Spirit are playing MI London in The Hundred at Lord’s, and the market is marked at **0% YES** on Polymarket, so buyers are effectively pricing this contract as having no live chance of resolving in the affirmative at current on-chain levels. On Polymarket, that price reflects the crowd’s view of the conditional token outcome on Polygon, with settlement in USDC once the match result is final under the competition’s playing conditions.

The recent head-to-head record helps explain why a zero bid can appear in a market like this. MI London beat London Spirit by four wickets in the earlier 2026 meeting at Lord’s, after Spirit posted 160-5 and MI chased it down with balls to spare, and the sides also tied at the Oval in another 2026 contest before MI prevailed earlier in the summer. ESPN’s series pages show MI London have generally had the better of this matchup across recent seasons, while London Spirit have shown enough batting to keep margins live rather than one-sided.

For traders, the practical catalysts are match confirmation, toss, weather interruption, and any formal result under DLS or over-rate rulings, because the market treats those as ordinary wins. The Lord’s fixture listing places the game on 6 August, and recent reporting on The Hundred has already shown this rivalry producing both a tight tie and a more comfortable chase, so the main dependency is whether conditions allow a completed match and whether a Super Over or other on-field tiebreak is needed if scores finish level.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.