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Pronóstico: Club León FC vs. FC Juárez - More Markets

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Pronóstico: Club León FC vs. FC Juárez - More Markets" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Polymarket Qué Es.

O/U 0.5 60% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 55% FC Juárez 2nd Half O/U 1.5 51% Club León FC (-4.5) 50% Volume: $97K Liquidity: $540K Closes: 28 Sept 2026
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Pronóstico: Club León FC vs. FC Juárez - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
60% 40% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
60% 40% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.560%
2nd Half O/U 0.555%
FC Juárez 2nd Half O/U 1.551%
Club León FC (-4.5)50%
FC Juárez (-4.5)50%
Club León FC (-5.5)50%
Club León FC 2nd Half O/U 2.550%
Club León FC 2nd Half O/U 3.550%
FC Juárez 2nd Half O/U 2.550%
FC Juárez 2nd Half O/U 3.550%
Club León FC 2nd Half (-2.5)50%
FC Juárez 2nd Half (-2.5)50%
Club León FC O/U 0.546%
Club León FC 2nd Half O/U 0.546%
FC Juárez 2nd Half O/U 0.527%
FC Juárez O/U 0.525%
O/U 1.522%
2nd Half O/U 1.522%
FC Juárez O/U 3.521%
FC Juárez O/U 4.521%
FC Juárez O/U 5.521%
2nd Half O/U 3.520%
2nd Half O/U 4.520%
Club León FC O/U 3.517%
Club León FC O/U 4.517%
Club León FC O/U 5.517%
2nd Half O/U 2.513%
Club León FC O/U 1.512%
Club León FC 2nd Half O/U 1.512%
FC Juárez 2nd Half (-1.5)12%
Both Teams to Score11%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half11%
Club León FC 2nd Half (-1.5)10%
Club León FC (-1.5)9%
O/U 2.57%
FC Juárez O/U 2.54%
FC Juárez O/U 1.53%
FC Juárez (-1.5)2%
Club León FC (-2.5)2%
Club León FC O/U 2.52%
O/U 3.51%
Club León FC (-3.5)1%
FC Juárez (-2.5)0%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 0.50%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
Club León FC 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Club León FC 1st Half O/U 1.50%
FC Juárez 1st Half O/U 0.50%
FC Juárez 1st Half O/U 1.50%
FC Juárez (-3.5)0%
FC Juárez (-5.5)0%
O/U 6.50%
O/U 7.50%
O/U 8.50%
1st Half O/U 3.50%
1st Half O/U 4.50%
Club León FC 1st Half O/U 2.50%
Club León FC 1st Half O/U 3.50%
FC Juárez 1st Half O/U 2.50%
FC Juárez 1st Half O/U 3.50%
Club León FC 1st Half (-1.5)0%
Club León FC 1st Half (-2.5)0%
FC Juárez 1st Half (-1.5)0%
FC Juárez 1st Half (-2.5)0%

Market context

Club León FC vs. FC Juárez - More Markets. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 9% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-09-28T01:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.

Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.

Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.

Methodology

This page reviews Pronóstico: Club León FC vs. FC Juárez - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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