Pronóstico: Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Market context

Sport Lisboa e Benfica host FC St. Gallen in the second leg of their Europa League qualifying tie, and Polymarket is pricing the **Exact Score** contract at **0% YES** on the current crowd view. On Polymarket, that means traders are holding the USDC-settled, Polygon-based conditional token at a flat “any listed score is unlikely” valuation rather than building in a specific Benfica winline or St. Gallen upset.

The market is easier to read when set against the first leg, where St. Gallen won **2-1** on 23 July and Benfica now need to overturn the deficit over 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.[9][10] Benfica’s recent domestic scoring has been lively — including 3-1 at Estoril, 4-1 against Moreirense, and draws with Braga and Famalicão — while St. Gallen have also been involved in open games, with results such as 3-1 at Basel and 2-1 at Lugano.[1][6] For an exact-score market, that kind of goal output matters more than simple win/loss form, because the contract resolves only to the specific final score or “Any Other Score”.[10]

The main catalysts are lineup and venue details rather than broad tournament narratives. Sky Sports listed the match for **8:00pm** in Lisbon, and any late confirmation of team sheets, injuries, or rotation will feed directly into scoreline pricing because Benfica’s need to chase the tie can alter both tempo and risk-taking.[6] Traders also need to watch for any schedule disruption or official abandonment, since the settlement rule is based on the result after regulation time and stoppage time, with extra time and penalties excluded.[10]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.