Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-4.5) vs FUT Esports (+4.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-5.5) vs FUT Esports (+5.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-4.5) vs FUT Esports (+4.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-5.5) vs FUT Esports (+5.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 90% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 90% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 90% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-6.5) vs FUT Esports (+6.5) | 90% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 90% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5 | 90% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 90% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 90% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-6.5) vs FUT Esports (+6.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-7.5) vs FUT Esports (+7.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5) | 10% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5) | 10% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5) | 10% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs Team Vitality (+3.5) | 10% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 1% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.5 | 1% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5) | 1% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 1% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 1% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-7.5) vs FUT Esports (+7.5) | 0% |
| Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 29.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 28.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of pronóstico: valorant: fut esports vs team vitality (bo3) - vct emea group alpha. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Valorant match between FUT Esports and Team Vitality in the VCT EMEA Group Alpha, initially scheduled for August 1 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolv…
Methodology
We track Pronóstico: Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Pronóstico: Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Vitality (… on Polymarket Qué Es
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